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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals – June 28, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs St. Louis Cardinals - June 28, 2022
2022-06-28 19:45:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins (33-39) face the St. Louis Cardinals (42-34) at Busch Stadium on Tuesday at 7:45pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Braxton Garrett is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Dakota Hudson is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals. The Cardinals are favored to win at -150, while the Marlins are at +130. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Marlins (-150) have a 36-36 Run Line record this season, while the Cardinals (+130) hold a record of 42-34.
  • The Marlins have a 37-33-2 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 33 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Cardinals have a 40-33-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (T15th in the league). Comparatively, the Cardinals are averaging +0.4 more at 4.8 runs (5th).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Cardinals are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (6th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .245 (ranking 14th in the Major Leagues), while the Cardinals are batting .254 (5th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Cardinals have hit 82 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 80 (14th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 300 RBIs to rank 17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cardinals have recorded 347 RBIs to rank 3rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cardinals have an earned run average of 3.78 this season (11th in the Majors), while the Marlins have an ERA of 3.96 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 629 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording 553.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .243 against the Cardinals this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins’ opponents are at .238 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 9-23-40 6-10-19 3-13-21 6-15-31 3-8-9 0-0-0 1-3-6
  • Cardinals 24-17-35 16-4-18 8-13-17 16-10-26 8-7-9 0-0-0 6-0-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 22-32-18 12-14-9 10-18-9 16-25-11 6-7-7 0-0-0 1-4-4
  • Cardinals 32-29-15 20-15-3 12-14-12 22-18-12 10-11-3 0-0-0 6-2-2

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 36-36 in Marlins games this season. The Cardinals have a 32-44 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cardinals recorded a lopsided 9-0 victory against the Marlins at Busch Stadium yesterday. Juan Yepez was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 5 RBIs. The Cardinals have now won four straight at Busch Stadium against the Marlins.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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