MLB Prop Bets: Texas Rangers vs New York Mets – July 3, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Texas Rangers vs New York Mets - July 3, 2022
2022-07-03 13:40:00 EDT

The Texas Rangers (36-39) face the New York Mets (48-29) at Citi Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jon Gray is the probable pitcher for the Rangers, while Carlos Carrasco is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -145, while the Rangers are at +125. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -115.

  • The Rangers (-169) have a 44-31 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+145) hold a record of 43-34.
  • The Rangers have a 32-39-4 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total runs line, 39 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 39-32-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Rangers are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging +0.4 more at 4.8 runs (T4th).
  • In the field, the Rangers are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (10th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rangers are at .238 (ranking 20th in the Major Leagues), while the Mets are batting .256 (4th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 72 (20th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Rangers have managed 95 (9th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rangers have recorded 308 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 354 RBIs to rank 8th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have an earned run average of 3.89 this season (15th in the Majors), while the Rangers have an ERA of 3.91 (17th).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rangers have recorded 613 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 3rd for total strikeouts, recording 715.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Mets this season (11th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rangers’ opponents are at .238 (13th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Rangers 13-22-40 7-9-21 6-13-19 5-11-27 8-11-13 0-0-0 1-4-5
  • Mets 25-20-32 18-4-15 7-16-17 19-9-20 6-11-12 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Rangers 24-32-19 13-15-9 11-17-10 12-19-12 12-13-7 0-0-0 4-3-3
  • Mets 34-21-22 21-5-11 13-16-11 23-11-14 11-10-8 0-0-0 2-4-4


  • The NRFI is 38-37 in Rangers games this season. The Mets have a 31-46 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rangers recorded a 7-3 victory over the Mets at Citi Field yesterday. Kole Calhoun was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 4 RBIs.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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