MLB

MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 20:10:00 EDT

The Cincinnati Reds (42-62) face the Milwaukee Brewers (57-47) at American Family Field on Friday at 8:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Robert Dugger is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Eric Lauer is the probable pitcher for the Brewers. The Brewers are favored to win at -196, while the Reds are at +165. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Reds (-130) have a 50-54 Run Line record this season, while the Brewers (+110) hold a record of 43-61.
  • The Reds have a 52-49-3 O/U record this season (meaning 52 games have gone over the total runs line, 49 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 52-45-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +0.3 more at 4.7 runs (6th).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (17th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .240 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Brewers are batting .241 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Brewers have hit 143 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 98 (T20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 430 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Brewers have recorded 471 RBIs to rank 5th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Brewers have an earned run average of 3.90 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 5.01 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 917 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 987.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .234 against the Brewers this season (8th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds’ opponents are at .253 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 18-23-63 14-11-31 4-12-32 9-6-9 9-17-54 0-0-0 4-2-4
  • Brewers 26-18-60 12-6-28 14-12-32 23-14-46 3-4-14 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 33-41-30 24-18-14 9-23-16 9-12-3 24-29-27 0-0-0 5-2-3
  • Brewers 38-35-31 20-12-14 18-23-17 32-27-24 6-8-7 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 59-45 in Reds games this season. The Brewers have a 54-50 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Brewers recorded a 6-3 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on June 19. Victor Caratini was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Brewers have now won three straight against the Reds.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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