MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Cleveland Guardians - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 19:10:00 EDT

The Houston Astros (69-38) face the Cleveland Guardians (54-51) at Progressive Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Framber Valdez is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while the Guardians’ probable pitcher remains unclear.

  • The Astros have a 38-66-3 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 66 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 54-47-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 (16th).
  • In the field, the Astros are allowing only 3.3 runs per game this season (2nd in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (16th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .241 (ranking 17th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .251 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 149 to rank 3rd. Alternatively, the Guardians are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 84 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have recorded 461 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 438 RBIs to rank 16th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.91 this season (15th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 2.98 (2nd).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded 957 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 861.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .241 against the Guardians this season (14th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros’ opponents are at .209 (1st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Astros 33-18-56 20-8-23 13-10-33 30-14-47 3-4-9 0-0-0 4-1-5
  • Guardians 24-19-62 13-9-26 11-10-36 14-5-28 10-14-34 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Astros 51-29-27 28-12-11 23-17-16 45-24-22 6-5-5 0-0-0 6-3-1
  • Guardians 40-45-20 22-19-7 18-26-13 25-14-8 15-31-12 0-0-0 5-4-1


  • The NRFI is 54-53 in Astros games this season. The Guardians have a 59-46 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 6-0 victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field yesterday. Chas McCormick dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs. The Astros have now won three straight against the Guardians.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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