MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs – August 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs - August 5, 2022
2022-08-05 14:20:00 EDT

The Miami Marlins (48-57) face the Chicago Cubs (41-63) at Wrigley Field on Friday at 2:20pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Justin Steele is the probable pitcher for the Cubs, while the Marlins’ probable pitcher remains unclear.

  • The Marlins have a 49-52-4 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line, 52 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Cubs have a 45-52-7 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Marlins are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Cubs are averaging 4.2 (21st).
  • In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Cubs are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (25th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .237 (ranking 22nd in the Major leagues), while the Cubs are batting .242 (16th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Cubs have hit 102 (19th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 98 (T20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 388 RBIs to rank 25th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cubs have recorded 406 RBIs to rank 23rd.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Cubs have an earned run average of 4.41 this season (25th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.85 (11th).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 913 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cubs rank T13th for total strikeouts, recording 900.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Cubs this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Marlins’ opponents are at .237 (11th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 13-28-64 8-13-30 5-15-34 6-10-33 7-18-31 0-0-0 2-4-4
  • Cubs 33-25-46 23-10-19 10-15-27 11-6-11 22-19-35 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Marlins 32-44-29 16-20-15 16-24-14 16-18-15 16-26-14 0-0-0 2-6-2
  • Cubs 41-41-22 27-15-10 14-26-12 15-8-5 26-33-17 0-0-0 4-4-2


  • The NRFI is 60-45 in Marlins games this season. The Cubs have a 45-59 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Marlins recorded a 4-1 victory over the Cubs at LoanDepot Park when these teams last met on August 15, 2021. Jesus Aguilar dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. The Marlins have now won three straight against the Cubs.

Robert Steele's Free Pick:

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.
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