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MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets – August 8, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets - August 8, 2022
2022-08-08 19:10:00 EDT

The Cincinnati Reds (44-63) face the New York Mets (70-39) at Citi Field on Monday at 7:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Justin Dunn is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Chris Bassitt is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -278, while the Reds are at +235. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -121 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Reds (+120) have a 52-55 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-141) hold a record of 61-48.
  • The Reds have a 53-51-3 O/U record this season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total runs line, 51 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 57-44-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging +0.5 more at 4.8 runs (4th).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (4th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Reds are at .239 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .259 (4th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 111 (15th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 103 (20th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 441 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 498 RBIs to rank 4th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.60 (5th in the Majors), while the Reds are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.98 (29th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 941 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 1039.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Mets this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds’ opponents are at .252 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 18-24-65 14-11-31 4-13-34 9-6-9 9-18-56 0-0-0 3-2-5
  • Mets 34-23-52 23-5-25 11-18-27 28-12-42 6-11-10 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Reds 34-43-30 24-18-14 10-25-16 9-12-3 25-31-27 0-0-0 4-4-2
  • Mets 49-25-35 28-7-18 21-18-17 40-13-29 9-12-6 0-0-0 8-1-1

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 61-46 in Reds games this season. The Mets have a 51-58 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded an 8-3 extra innings victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park when these teams last met on July 6. Brandon Nimmo dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 3 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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