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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros – August 27, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros - August 27, 2022
2022-08-27 19:10:00 EDT

The Baltimore Orioles (66-59) face the Houston Astros (81-46) at Minute Maid Park on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Dean Kremer is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Jose Urquidy is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Astros are favored to win at -177, while the Orioles are at +150. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Orioles (-141) have a 84-41 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (+120) hold a record of 67-60.
  • The Orioles have a 57-63-5 O/U record this season (meaning 57 games have gone over the total runs line, 63 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 49-74-4 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Orioles are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging +0.3 more at 4.6 runs (8th).
  • In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (12th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 3.3 runs (2nd).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .246 (13th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros have hit 170 (4th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 130 (15th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 505 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 564 RBIs to rank T7th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Astros have an earned run average of 3.05 this season (2nd in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 3.87 (14th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 952 this season, ranking T23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 1138.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .215 against the Astros this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles’ opponents are at .256 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 25-34-66 11-15-34 13-19-32 3-6-7 22-28-59 1-0-0 3-2-5
    Astros 39-22-66 24-9-28 15-13-38 36-17-55 3-5-11 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Orioles 47-53-25 24-22-14 22-31-11 5-8-3 42-45-22 1-0-0 4-2-4
    Astros 63-33-31 35-14-12 28-19-19 57-27-24 6-6-7 0-0-0 6-1-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 65-60 in Orioles games this season. The Astros have a 64-63 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Orioles recorded an upset 2-0 victory over the Astros at Minute Maid Park yesterday. Ramon Urias was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won four straight against the Astros.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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