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MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets – September 4, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets - September 4, 2022
2022-09-04 13:40:00 EDT

The Washington Nationals (46-87) face the New York Mets (85-49) at Citi Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Erick Fedde is the probable pitcher for the Nationals, while Carlos Carrasco is the probable pitcher for the Mets. The Mets are favored to win at -305, while the Nationals are at +255. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -106.

  • The Nationals (+115) have a 58-75 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (-136) hold a record of 74-60.
  • The Nationals have a 64-64-5 O/U record this season (meaning 64 games have gone over the total runs line, 64 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 67-59-8 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Nationals are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging +0.9 more at 4.7 runs (6th).
  • In the field, the Nationals are allowing a whopping 5.4 runs per game this season (29th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (4th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Nationals are at .248 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .256 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 135 (16th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Nationals have managed 113 (27th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Nationals have recorded 480 RBIs to rank 26th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 593 RBIs to rank 7th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Mets have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.53 (6th in the Majors), while the Nationals are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 5.09 (30th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Nationals have recorded 1037 this season, ranking 22nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mets rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 1262.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .236 against the Mets this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Nationals’ opponents are at .265 (28th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 30-35-68 14-17-38 16-18-30 6-4-8 24-31-60 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Mets 43-27-64 30-7-31 13-20-33 34-15-50 9-12-14 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Nationals 34-72-27 14-39-16 20-33-11 7-9-2 27-63-25 0-0-0 2-5-3
    Mets 61-33-40 38-9-21 23-24-19 51-16-32 10-17-8 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 65-68 in Nationals games this season. The Mets have a 62-72 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Nationals recorded a shock 7-1 victory over the Mets at Citi Field yesterday. Luis Garcia was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Mets’ six-game winning streak against the Nationals at Citi Field.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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