Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs 10/4/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

Chicago Cubs (73-87) vs. Cincinnati Reds (61-99)
October 4, 2022 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -120 / Chicago Cubs +102; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet Tuesday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park. The Chicago Cubs look for a win after winning 11 of their last 13 games. The Cincinnati Reds need a win after losing 9 of their last 11 games.

The Chicago Cubs have scored 11 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 11 games. The Cubs have won 11 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ian Happ leads the Cubs with 155 hits and 72 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Seiya Suzuki have combined for 237 hits and 100 RBI. Javier Assad gets the ball, and he is 2-2 with a 3.62 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. This will be Assad’s second career game against the Reds.

The Cincinnati Reds have scored 5 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 11 straight games. The Reds have lost 6 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Kyle Farmer leads the Reds with 132 hits and 78 RBI, while Jonathan India and Nick Senzel have combined for 182 hits and 66 RBI. Luis Cessa gets the ball, and he is 4-4 with a 4.76 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Cessa is 0-0 with a 4.85 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.

The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games and 11-1 in their last 12 overall. The Reds are 19-39 in their last 58 Tuesday games and 16-36 in their last 52 overall. The under is 18-7-1 in Cubs last 26 overall. The under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 home games. The Cubs are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

I’m not running to the window to back either of these teams, but I’m certainly not laying juice with either side here. The Cincinnati Reds are in horrible form and Luis Cessa shouldn’t be favored with the way he’s pitched. The Chicago Cubs have issues of their own, but they’ve also won 11 of their last 13 games. We’re getting the hotter team in the underdog role. Give me the Cubs.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Chicago Cubs +102

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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