Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres 10/11/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

San Diego Padres (91-74) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (111-51)
October 11, 2022 9:37 pm EDT
The Line: Los Angeles Dodgers -215 / San Diego Padres +196; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers meet Tuesday in MLB playoffs action from Dodger Stadium. This will be the first installment in a best-of-five Division Series. The Padres are coming off a Wild Card series versus the Mets, winning two of three games to move on. As for the Dodgers, they had a great season at 111-51, winning the NL West. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place. 

San Diego finished the regular season at 89-73, earning the spot in the Wild Card series versus the Mets. The Padres won 7-1 on Friday, but then took a 7-3 loss in the Saturday game two. In the Sunday rubber match, San Diego posted a 6-0 shutout win to take the series. 

As starter for the Tuesday game, San Diego will (in all likelihood) trot out Mike Clevinger. Over 23 games (22 starts) this year Clevinger is 7-7 with a 4.33 ERA. In 114.1 innings he has 55 earned on 102 hits and 35 walks with 91 Ks. 

Over on the Dodgers’ side, their 111-51 regular-season record was not only best in the NL West and the National League as a whole, but LA had the best record in all of the MLB. Los Angeles finished off the regular season with a split versus the Rockies over six games. 

For the starter gig in the Tuesday matchup the Dodgers are sending out Julio Urias. This year over 31 starts Urias went 17-7 with a 2.16 ERA. In 175.0 innings he put up 166 Ks. 

The Padres are 6-0 in their last six Tuesday games and 4-1 in their last five road games. San Diego is 9-4 in their last 13 in game one of a series. 

Meanwhile, the Dodgers are 40-12 in their last 52 versus the NL West and 6-2 in their last eight Divisional Playoff games. LA is 85-29 in their last 114 at home. 

PICK: I’m probably sticking with the Dodgers here. These teams last met up in late September, and in general Los Angeles has owned the matchups this year. In their last series from September 27-29, the Dodgers managed two of three victories—with the loss in a 4-3 outcome. LA outscored the Padres 9-6 over three games, but two of them were decided by one run. Clevinger has been pretty solid lately (outside of five earned in 4.0 innings at Coors Field) and I like him to keep the game close while he’s in there. I think LA will eke out a tight win, though. Should be a fun one. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -215

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Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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