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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians – June 26, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians - June 26, 2022
2022-06-26 13:40:00 EDT

The Boston Red Sox (41-31) face the Cleveland Guardians (36-31) at Progressive Field on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Rich Hill is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Aaron Civale is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Red Sox opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick’em, with both the Red Sox and Guardians at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -121 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Red Sox (+145) have a 40-32 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-169) hold a record of 37-30.
  • The Red Sox have a 27-37-8 O/U record this season (meaning 27 games have gone over the total runs line, 37 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 34-30-3 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 (11th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing 3.9 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (11th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .259 (ranking 3rd in the Major Leagues), while the Guardians are batting .250 (9th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 54 (28th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 70 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 333 RBIs to rank 5th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 291 RBIs to rank 17th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.69 this season (7th in the Majors), while the Red Sox have an ERA of 3.56 (6th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 609 this season, ranking 13th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 558.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .233 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox’s opponents are at .230 (6th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Red Sox 19-10-43 8-7-21 11-3-22 14-7-31 5-3-12 0-0-0 3-2-5
  • Guardians 14-14-39 7-7-14 7-7-25 9-10-25 5-4-14 0-0-0 2-1-7

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Red Sox 30-20-22 13-13-10 17-7-12 22-15-15 8-5-7 0-0-0 5-3-1
  • Guardians 25-27-15 12-11-5 13-16-10 15-20-9 10-7-6 0-0-0 3-7-0

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 40-32 in Red Sox games this season. The Guardians have a 36-31 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Red Sox recorded an upset 4-2 victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field yesterday. Jarren Duran went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with an RBI.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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