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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins – August 29, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins - August 29, 2022
2022-08-29 19:40:00 EDT

The Boston Red Sox (62-66) face the Minnesota Twins (65-61) at Target Field on Monday at 7:40pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brayan Bello is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while Dylan Bundy is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -141, while the Red Sox are at +120. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • The Red Sox (-150) have a 64-64 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (+130) hold a record of 60-66.
  • The Red Sox have a 58-61-9 O/U record this season (meaning 58 games have gone over the total runs line, 61 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Twins have a 58-59-9 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging 4.4 (T14th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (13th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .257 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .249 (11th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 149 (10th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 122 (19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 551 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 535 RBIs to rank 14th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Twins have an earned run average of 3.91 this season (17th in the Majors), while The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.50 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1078 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 20th for total strikeouts, recording 1046.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .240 against the Twins this season (13th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Red Sox’s opponents are at .253 (24th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 25-34-69 11-19-35 14-14-34 12-18-34 13-16-35 0-1-0 1-4-5
    Twins 37-25-64 19-12-35 18-13-29 26-12-37 11-13-27 0-0-0 2-3-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 42-53-33 20-29-16 22-23-17 23-25-16 19-28-17 0-1-0 3-6-1
    Twins 55-40-31 30-18-18 25-22-13 40-14-21 15-26-10 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 65-63 in Red Sox games this season. The Twins have a 61-65 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Twins recorded an 8-3 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park when these teams last met on April 18. Jorge Polanco was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 4 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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