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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays – September 5, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays - September 5, 2022
2022-09-05 16:10:00 EDT

The Boston Red Sox (66-68) face the Tampa Bay Rays (74-57) at Tropicana Field on Monday at 4:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox, while the Rays’ probable pitcher remains unclear.

  • The Red Sox have a 62-63-9 O/U record this season (meaning 62 games have gone over the total runs line, 63 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 60-60-11 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Red Sox are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (8th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.3 (17th).
  • In the field, the Red Sox are allowing a whopping 4.9 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (6th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Red Sox are at .259 (ranking 5th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .242 (17th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 119 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Red Sox have managed 126 (T19th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Red Sox have recorded 584 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 532 RBIs to rank 19th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.28 (3rd in the Majors), while the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.53 (25th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Red Sox have recorded 1124 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 1146.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of only .231 against the Rays this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Red Sox’s opponents are at .254 (25th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 27-35-72 13-19-36 14-15-36 14-18-35 13-17-37 0-1-0 3-3-4
    Rays 32-27-72 18-13-36 14-14-36 22-17-50 10-10-22 0-0-0 1-1-8

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Red Sox 45-55-34 21-30-17 24-24-17 24-26-17 21-29-17 0-1-0 5-4-1
    Rays 52-33-46 30-15-22 22-18-24 38-23-28 14-10-18 0-0-0 6-1-3

NRFI/YRFI

  • The NRFI is 68-66 in Red Sox games this season. The Rays have a 71-60 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a lopsided 12-4 victory against the Red Sox at Fenway Park when these teams last met on August 28. Isaac Paredes was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.


Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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