MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays – June 25, 2022

MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Tampa Bay Rays - June 25, 2022
2022-06-25 13:10:00 EDT

The Pittsburgh Pirates (29-41) face the Tampa Bay Rays (38-32) at Tropicana Field on Saturday at 1:10pm (ET). Let’s take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. JT Brubaker is the probable pitcher for the Pirates, while Corey Kluber is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -169, while the Pirates are at +145. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +100 and UNDER at -121.

  • These teams share a 32-38 Run Line record this season. The Pirates are -136 to cover the run line while the Rays are +115.
  • The Pirates have a 29-34-7 O/U record this season (meaning 29 games have gone over the total runs line, 34 have gone under and seven have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 30-35-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Pirates are averaging 3.7 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.0 (24th).
  • In the field, the Pirates are allowing a whopping 5.0 runs per game this season (25th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (5th).

Let’s take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at .219 (ranking 28th in the Major Leagues), while the Rays are batting .232 (25th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 66 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Pirates have managed 70 (17th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Pirates have recorded 236 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 268 RBIs to rank 25th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.17 (4th in the Majors), while the Pirates are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.54 (25th).


  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded 559 this season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 612.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .221 against the Rays this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Pirates’ opponents are at .249 (21st).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 13-19-38 8-9-20 5-10-18 7-11-27 6-8-11 0-0-0 3-3-4
  • Rays 16-17-37 9-10-19 7-7-18 10-11-21 6-6-16 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2022.
  • Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
  • Pirates 23-32-15 11-15-11 12-17-4 16-20-9 7-12-6 0-0-0 5-4-0
  • Rays 29-18-23 16-9-13 13-9-10 17-9-16 12-9-7 0-0-0 4-3-3


  • The NRFI is 35-35 in Pirates games this season. The Rays have a 36-34 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Rays recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the Pirates at Tropicana Field yesterday. Hoy Jun Park was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.

Robert Steele

I'm not a fan of being called a "quants" (quantitative analyst) or "math wizard" but it's the truth. I'm a numbers guy. I love to crunch the data, make sense of it, and turn it into a winning bet.

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