New York Mets vs San Diego Padres 10/9/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

San Diego Padres (90-73) vs. New York Mets (101-62)
October 9, 2022 7:07 pm EDT
The Line: New York Mets -134 / San Diego Padres +114; Over/Under: +6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets meet Sunday in game 3 of the MLB NL Wild Card at Citi Field. The San Diego Padres look to make their second NLDS in the last 3 years. The New York Mets look to make their first NLDS since 2015 when they made the World Series. 

The San Diego Padres watched their pitching fall apart in their game 2 loss. The Padres have now lost 5 of their last 7 games when allowing 4 or more runs. The Padres have lost 2 or more games in a row 8 times since August 9. Jurickson Profar leads the Padres with 3 hits and 4 RBI, while Josh Bell and Trent Grisham have combined for 4 hits and 4 RBI. Joe Musgrove gets the ball, and he was 10-7 with a 2.93 ERA and 184 strikeouts this season. Musgrove is 1-0 with a 8.10 ERA and 3 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The New York Mets had their offense show up in their game 2 victory, which includes a 4-run inning in the seventh. The Mets have won 20 of their last 22 games when scoring 4 or more runs. The Mets have scored 7 or more runs in 3 of their last 4 games. Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 4 hits and 1 RBI, while Eduardo Escobar and Pete Alonso have combined for 5 hits and 3 RBI. Chris Bassitt gets the ball, and he was 15-9 with a 3.42 ERA and 167 strikeouts this season. Bassitt is 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA and 9 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Padres are 4-11 in their last 15 playoff games and 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. The Mets are 8-3 in their last 11 Sunday games and 44-20 in their last 64 home games. The over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 overall. The over is 19-7 in Mets last 26 overall. The Padres are 4-2 in the last 6 meetings in New York and 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

Both offenses have had success in this series, and the Mets have been on an offensive tear overall dating back to the last week of the season. Musgrove has been great this year both at home and on the road, but he has limited postseason experience and guys like Marte and Alonso have had success against him. Bassitt was rocked in his last start, and he’s allowing a .250 batting average and 3 homers in 56 at bats against current Padres. Low total. Give me the over in the only baseball game of the day.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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