World Series Game 5: Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros 11/3/22 MLB Picks, Predictions, Odds

Houston Astros (115-58) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (98-79)
November 3, 2022 8:03 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +136 / Houston Astros -162; Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Houston Astros and Philadelphia Phillies meet Thursday in game 5 of the MLB World Series at Citizens Bank Park. The Houston Astros look to take a 3-2 series lead. The Philadelphia Phillies also have a chance to break the series tie.

The Houston Astros are coming off the second no-hitter in World Series history, and their pitching has now allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The Astros have won 9 straight games when allowing 3 or fewer runs. Yuli Gurriel leads the Astros with 16 hits and 4 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Alex Bregman have combined for 28 hits and 17 RBI. Justin Verlander gets the ball, and he was 18-4 with a 1.75 ERA and 185 strikeouts this season. Verlander is 15-11 with a 3.69 ERA and 224 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Philadelphia Phillies need their bats to step up after what happened in game 3, and they’ve been held to 9 runs in their last 3 games overall. The Phillies have lost 3 of their last 4 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Bryce Harper leads the Phillies with 21 hits and 13 RBI, while J.T. Realmuto and Nick Castellanos have combined for 25 hits and 13 RBI. Noah Syndergaard gets the ball, and he was 10-10 with a 3.94 ERA and 95 strikeouts this season. Syndergaard is 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA and 40 strikeouts in his postseason career.

The Astros are 40-12 in their last 52 Thursday games and 38-13 in their last 51 overall. The Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 11-4 in their last 15 overall. The under is 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 overall. The over is 3-1-1 in Phillies last 5 overall. The Astros are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.

Justin Verlander has a terrible World Series history, and his performance on Friday against the Phillies wasn’t encouraging. Noah Syndergaard hasn’t looked like himself since leaving the Mets, and he hasn’t pitched in 2 weeks. These are two capable offenses that can produce crooked numbers regardless of pitcher. I expect more fireworks. Give me the over.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 7.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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