Marlins vs. Reds Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/13/23

Chris RuffoloMay 13, 2023
Marlins vs. Reds Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/13/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Cincinnati Reds and the Miami Marlins meet in MLB action from LoanDepot Park on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


Miami is listed as a -200 home favorite while Cincinnati is a +170 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Nick Lodolo will start for Cincinnati and is 21-1 with a 6.29 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. Sandy Alcantara will start for Miami and is 1-3 with a 4.53 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Cincinnati’s 7-4 win over Miami on Friday made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams.


Cincinnati is 16-35 in their last 51 road games and 9-19 in their last 28 games against the NL East while the over is 11-4 in their last 15 games following a win. Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games overall and 0-4 in their last 4 home games while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games against a team with a left-handed starter.


I’m backing the Marlins here. Not a game I’m rushing to bet as I’m not loving this price with the Marlins, but Sandy is a much better pitcher than what we’ve seen from him to this point. The Reds have been solid as well, as they got the win over Miami to start the series, but I’m starting to fall out of love with Nick Lodolo and I think the Marlins’ bats wake up here and get the win on the run line.

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Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg