Nationals vs Mets Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23

Randy ChambersMay 11, 2023
Nationals vs Mets Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/12/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action at Nationals Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The New York Mets have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 8 games. The Mets have lost 7 of their last 9 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with 43 hits and 15 RBI, while Jeff McNeil and Pete Alonso have combined for 69 hits and 43 RBI. Tylor Megill gets the ball, and he is 3-2 with a 4.33 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Megill is 2-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 21 strikeouts in his career against the Nationals.

The Washington Nationals have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games. The Nationals have won 9 of their last 11 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Joey Meneses leads the Nationals with 44 hits and 16 RBI, while Lane Thomas and Dominic Smith have combined for 72 hits and 26 RBI. MacKenzie Gore gets the ball, and he is 3-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 48 strikeouts this season. This will be Gore’s second career game against the Mets.

The Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and 4-1 in their last 5 Friday games. The Nationals are 21-49 in their last 70 home games and 15-38 in their last 53 games following an off day. The under is 5-2 in Mets last 7 overall. The under is 7-3 in Nationals last 10 overall. The Mets are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Washington and 23-10 in the last 33 meetings.

The New York Mets are the better team on paper, but their offense has been quiet all week and frustration has to be building as this is a team handsomely paid with expectations. The Nationals' offense is on fire right now, and you can argue MacKenzie Gore has been the better pitcher over Tylor Megill. Give me the Nats and the plus money at home.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:Washington Nationals +130
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Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.