The Philadelphia Phillies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will start Ranger Suarez here and Suarez is 12-6 with a 2.84 ERA and 145 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Arizona, Suarez is 0-1 with a 6.08 ERA and 24 strikeouts. Eduardo Rodriguez will start here for Arizona and is 8-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. In his career, Rodriguez is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 35 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from their 4-3 loss at the hands of teh Diamondbacks in Saturday’s matchup to sit at 92-63 this season. After this series, the Phillies will go home for their set against the Miami Marlins
Phillies Still 8-3 In Their Last 11
Nick Castellanos has 134 hits with 27 doubles including 17 home runs and 69 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 138 hits with a team-high 53 home runs and 128 RBIs but also has a team-high 183 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 12 stolen bases, 32 doubles, 27 home runs and 75 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 179 hits with 7 triples, 15 home runs, 69 RBIs and a team-high 36 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 18 doubles and Bryson Stott has 20 doubles, 3 triples, 12 homers and 65 RBIs while Stott also has 23 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last two games as favorites.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (53) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to add on to Saturday’s win over Philadelphia, improving to 78-77 as a result. After this series, the Diamondbacks will square off against the Los Angeles Dodgers in a series at home.
Diamondbacks Snap Two-Game Slide
Corbin Carroll has 140 hits with 30 home runs, 78 RBIs, 17 triples and 30 doubles this season. Carroll also has a team-high 29 stolen bases and Geraldo Perdomo has 26 stolen bases as well as 19 home runs and 97 RBIs with a team-high 163 hits this season. Ketel Marte’s added 26 home runs and 67 RBIs as well on the year and Lourdes Gurriel has 124 hits with 24 doubles, 19 home runs and 80 RBIs.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost 10 of their last 15 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as underdogs following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as road favorites against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit at least one home run in six of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a Double in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five games.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs.
- Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against the Phillies.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 17 home games against NL opponents.
- Geraldo Perdomo ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m backing the Phillies here. I was on Arizona on Saturday but I’m switching back to Philly on Sunday as I just feel like Ranger Suarez is the far more reliable left-handed starter in this game and while I’m also not fond of Philadelphia’s bullpen, Arizona’s bullpen in September has the third-highest bullpen ERA and is back to riding the struggle bus like the Diamondbacks’ bullpens of the last couple of seasons. I think Philly wins the series here so give me the Phils behind another strong start from Suarez.