The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Mexico City. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will send out Michael King for the start here and King is 3-1 with a 2.28 ERA and 26 strikeouts this season. In his career, King is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Arizona. Ryne Nelson will start for Arizona here and is 1-2 with a 6.97 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Padres, Nelson is 3-1 with a 4.27 ERA and 20 strikeouts.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over Arizona from Saturday’s matchup to improve to 18-8 this season. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Padres Looking For Sweep
Entering Saturday, Jackson Merrill has 20 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ramon Laureano has 24 hits with 4 doubles, 2 triples, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs as well on the year. Fernando Tatis Jr. has 23 hits with 4 doubles and 12 RBIs and Xander Bogaerts has 26 hits with 2 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs. Manny Machado also has 16 hits with 2 doubles, 2 home runs and 11 RBIs as well on the year.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to shake off their loss at the hands of the Padres on Saturday to sit at 14-12 this season. After this series, Arizona will head on the road for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Diamondbacks Drop 4 Of Last 5
Going into Saturday, Corbin Carroll has 21 hits including 6 doubles, 3 triples, 3 home runs and a team-high 16 RBIs while Alek Thomas has logged 7 doubles with 8 RBIs as well this season. Ketel Marte has 19 hits with 2 doubles, 4 home runs and 9 RBIs and Geraldo Perdomo has 17 hits, with 3 doubles, a home run and 5 RBIs as well this season. Gabriel Moreno also has 11 hits with 5 doubles and Jose Fernandez has 19 hits with 2 home runs and 9 RBIs this season. Ildemaro Vargas also has 22 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs.
San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: April 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 6.97
- Home Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Padres: 2-1
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Michael King Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.28
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 2-0
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have won each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight day games against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last 10 Sunday games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Padres’ last eight day games against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Ryne Nelson has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL West opponents.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as underdogs against the Padres.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded two hits in each of the Padres’ last two games as favorites.
- Michael King ranks T9th in the league for Wins (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (9).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (67).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (17).
- The Padres rank 28th in the league for hits this season (200).
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m on the Padres here. I thought the altitude and environment would be more influential to the over as past international games have been, but the thing for me here is that it didn’t play out like that, more like a normal game and if that proves to be the case, San Diego has the better starter here and the better bullpen in the late stages of this game. All in all, I have to roll with the Padres for the sweep in Mexico City. Give me San Diego in this one.