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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9-29-24 MLB Picks

San Diego Padres (93-68) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (88-73)
September 29, 2024 3:10 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Diamondbacks -165 / San Diego Padres +151; Over/Under: +9
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action from Chase Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send out Martin Perez here and Perez is 5-5 with a 4.25 ERA and 104 strikeouts this season. In his career, Perez is 0-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 7 strikeouts against the Diamondbacks. The Arizona Diamondbacks did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.

San Diego Padres Recap

The San Diego Padres will be out to complete the sweep after taking down the Diamondbacks on Saturday by a final score of 5-0. The Padres getting the series win helps them bounce back from a series loss to the Dodgers earlier in the week.

Padres Trying To Play Spoiler Against Rival

Going into Saturday, Jurickson Profar has 157 hits along with a .280 batting average and 29 doubles with 24 homers and 85 RBIs. Jake Cronenworth has 82 RBIs while Fernando Tatis Jr. has belted 21 home runs, 49 RBIs and 110 hits as well this season. Manny Machado has 163 hits, 29 home runs and 105 RBIs but also has 123 strikeouts while Ha-Seong Kim has 94 hits with 3 triples, 16 doubles, 11 home runs, 47 RBIs and a team-high 22 stolen bases. Jackson Merrill has also chipped in 24 home runs, 90 RBIs and 31 doubles with 6 triples this season.

Why the San Diego Padres will win

  • The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Padres and Diamondbacks.
  • The Diamondbacks have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against teams that held a winning record.

Arizona Diamondbacks Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks will try to salvage something from this series after being taken out on Saturday. The series loss for Arizona meant they’d close out the regular season with back-to-back series L’s after a loss to the Giants earlier in the week.

Diamondbacks On Thin Ice In Wild Card Race

Entering Saturday, Ketel Marte has 145 hits in addition to a .292 batting average and 23 doubles with 35 home runs and 93 RBIs while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also has 18 home runs and 74 RBIs as well this season. Corbin Carroll has a team-high 33 stolen bases, 14 triples, 22 home runs and 74 RBIs while Eugenio Suarez has 29 home runs, a team-high 99 RBIs and 172 strikeouts this season. Christian Walker also has 26 home runs with 84 RBIs of his own in addition to 132 strikeouts this season.

Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win

  • The Diamondbacks have won each of their last nine day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have lost four of their last five day games against NL West opponents following a road win.
  • The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last 11 day games against NL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against National League opponents.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction

I’m going to side with Arizona. It hasn’t necessarily worked out well for me in the first two games of this series as Arizona’s fallen flat, but we’re in must-win territory for Arizona as they won’t control their own fate with Monday’s doubleheader between the Mets and Braves on the horizon. San Diego’s only motivation here is to play defense and keep a division rival from making the postseason, and while the Padres have won a lot of Perez’s starts since being acquired, I think the Diamondbacks salvage a win here. Give me Arizona.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Arizona -165

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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