In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 3rd at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 58-55 this year after they swept the Rangers in three games by scores of 11-2, 5-4, and 7-3. In game three, Houston blew a 3-0 lead in the middle innings, but they scored four runs in the seventh to get the win. The Astros recorded 15 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Alvarez, who went 4-5 with two RBIs. Lambert allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Abreu got the win and Blubaugh picked up the save. Prior to that series, Houston swept the Angels in three games and won two out of three against the White Sox.
This season, Houston has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 528 runs with a .245 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 35 home runs and 84 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 22 home runs and 64 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Cristian Javier, who is 1-1 with a 7.17 ERA and a 1.83 WHIP over 21.1 innings pitched this year.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 52-60 this season after they won two out of three against the Cardinals by scores of 3-1, 5-1, and 1-5. In game three, Toronto tied the game at one in the eighth inning, but they allowed four runs in the ninth for the loss. The Blue Jays recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Urias, who went 1-3 with one RBI and one walk. Scherzer allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Varland picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Toronto won two out of three against the Nationals, but lost two out of three against the Red Sox before that.
This season, Toronto has a 4.07 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 439 runs with a .243 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Kazuma Okamoto has led the Blue Jays with 24 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Andres Gimenez has added seven home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Shane Bieber, who is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP over 31.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Daikin Park.
Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Blue Jays have won three of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 18 home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Blue Jays and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Blue Jays’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Blue Jays’ last nine games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Astros’ last eight home games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in four of the Astros’ last five games as home favorites.
- Cristian Javier has recorded four or more strikeouts in 19 of his last 23 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances in night games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (35) this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last five night games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
- Shane Bieber has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- Shane Bieber has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Ernie Clement ranks T7th in the league in Hits (122) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (480).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (37).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (439).
- The Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for triples this season (6).
Astros vs Blue Jays Prediction
Houston continued their winning streak with another win on Sunday afternoon and they have scored 30 runs in their last four games. The Astros are 29-27 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are 24-29 on the road. Toronto has won three of their last four games and they have allowed two runs or fewer in all three of those wins. The Blue Jays are starting Bieber, who has allowed 4, 1, 0, 2, and 7 earned runs in his last five starts, while Javier has allowed three earned runs in his last 10.0 innings of work. I don’t really trust either starter in this game, but Houston is red hot. Take the Astros here.