The Milwaukee Brewers and Houston Astros meet Friday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Brewers Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 33-20 on the year and play the Giants and Rockies next. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting. 246 on the season, have a .332 OBP, and have a .364 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers’ pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 60 hits and 33 RBI, while Brice Turang and Jake Bauers have combined for 98 hits and 60 RBI.
Coleman Crow gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 0-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 7 strikeouts this season. This will be Crow’s first career game against the Houston Astros.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 26-32 on the year and play the Pirates and Athletics next. The Houston Astros are batting. 245 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and have a .412 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros’ pitching staff has a 5.05 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez leads the Houston Astros with 63 hits and 39 RBI, while Isaac Paredes and Christian Walker have combined for 98 hits and 62 RBI.
Kai-Wei Teng gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 3-3 with a 2.19 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. This will be Teng’s first career game against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last seven road games against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in six of their last seven games.
- The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Daikin Park.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 12 of their last 13 games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Brewers following a road win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven home games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last six night games against NL Central opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Brewers’ last seven road games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three home games against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 Friday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.654) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against AL opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against AL West opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks T5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.400) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (276).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (37).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (37).
Astros vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers have been the better team overall this season, but I’m not backing them here, simply because the jury is still out on Crow, who has just 10.1 career MLB innings. The Astros have completely turned their season around, and they’re throwing out Teng, who has been sharp over a larger sample size. Through 37 innings, Teng has a 2.19 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. Teng has allowed just 10 hits and 3 runs in his last 17.1 innings. In 16 home innings, Teng has a 1.69 ERA and a .161 batting average allowed. We’re getting plus money with a hot team at home. I’ll take it.