In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 24th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 29-23 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL Central. They have a 18-10 home record and are coming off a 0-3 home defeat against the Astros. They will face the Pirates and the Cardinals next.
The Cubs have a .238 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .390 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 30. Ian Happ adds a team-high 10 home runs.
Shota Imanaga (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 4-4 record, 3.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 22-31 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL West. They have a 10-17 away record and are coming off a 3-0 road win against the Cubs. They will face the Rangers and the Brewers next.
The Astros have a .246 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 5.18 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average, also adding a team-high 15 home runs. Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 34.
Peter Lambert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 2-4 record, 3.57 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Houston Astros @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: May 24, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga Record this season: 4-4 ERA: 3.38
- Home Record: 3-2
- Last 5 against Astros: –
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight Sunday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Peter Lambert Record this season: 2-4 ERA: 3.57
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Cubs: 2-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last five games at Wrigley Field.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine day games following a loss.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Cubs’ last five games.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games against the Cubs.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Shota Imanaga’s last five home appearances as a starter.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T9th in the league in Steals (12) this season.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Christian Vazquez has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against the Cubs.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Astros as road underdogs against NL opponents.
- Christian Walker ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (236).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.335).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.18).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (257).
Astros vs Cubs Prediction
The Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Cubs but are 2-3 in their last 5 visits in Chicago. Under is 6-2 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Astros vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -180 home favorites. The Cubs have been arguably the worst team in baseball in the past week or so, having lost seven straight games and have scored just four runs in their last four games, but they are being -180 home favorites today for some reason. The market still has not adjusted and Imanaga is coming off his worst start of the season and has been slightly weaker at home. Take the Astros and the nice plus money in this one.