In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 19th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 35-41 this year after they won two out of three against the Tigers by scores of 3-9, 4-2, and 4-2. In game three, Houston took the lead in the third inning and never looked back in the victory. The Astros recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Pena, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Lambert allowed two hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Hader picked up the save. Prior to that series, Houston won two out of three against the Royals, but lost two out of three against the Angels before that.
This season, Houston has a 4.87 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 344 runs with a .243 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 24 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Tatsuya Imai, who is 3-3 with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over 35.0 innings pitched this year.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 40-35 this season after they lost two out of three against the Brewers by scores of 1-2, 4-9, and 4-2. In game three, Cleveland trailed 2-1 in the fourth inning, but they scored the last three runs to get the win. The Guardians recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Fry, who went 1-2 with one home run and one RBI. Messick allowed four hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. Prior to that series, Cleveland won two games against the Tigers, but lost all three against the Yankees before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.79 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 298 runs with a .229 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 2-7 with a 3.96 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 84.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last six games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six Friday games.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The underdogs have won five of the last six games between the Guardians and Astros.
- The Astros have lost five of their last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Astros.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against AL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Guardians’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Three of the Astros’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of Tanner Bibee ‘s last nine road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last five games between the Guardians and Astros.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 16 games as home favorites.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.642) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last four games as underdogs against the Astros.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 10 games against the Astros.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Astros rank T29th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.370).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for hits this season (562).
Astros vs Guardians Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup after a much needed series win against the Tigers, but their offense has struggled over their last four games. The Astros are 18-20 at home this year, while the Guardians are 21-18 on the road. Cleveland has won three of their last five and they avoided the sweep with a win on Thursday. The Guardians are starting Bibee, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 15.0 innings, while Imai has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Take the under here, as I don’t trust the Cleveland offense.