In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Guardians prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 20th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 36-41 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-3 last night. Houston trailed 3-1 in the third inning, but they scored the last eight runs to get the win. The Astros recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Altuve, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs. Imai allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Okert picked up a hold. Prior to this series, Houston won two out of three against the Tigers and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, Houston has a 4.85 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 353 runs with a .244 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 24 home runs and 55 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 18 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Spencer Arrighetti, who is 7-2 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 63.0 innings pitched this season.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 40-36 this year after they lost game one by a score of 9-3 on Friday. Cleveland scored three runs in the third inning, but couldn’t score in the last six innings for the loss. The Guardians recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hoskins, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bibee allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the loss, while Espino allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Brewers, but did win both games against the Tigers before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 301 runs with a .229 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with seven home runs and 34 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 11 home runs and 33 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Joey Cantillo, who is 5-3 with a 4.38 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 72.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Astros have lost six of their last nine games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against the Astros following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five home games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Guardians’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the last five games between the Guardians and Astros at Daikin Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last six games between the Guardians and Astros.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in four of the Guardians’ last five games against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last four night games.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.637) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Astros.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against the Astros.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.370).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for hits this season (569).
Astros vs Guardians Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have scored 17 runs during that span. The Astros are 19-20 at home this year, while the Guardians are 21-19 on the road. Cleveland has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed nine runs in each of their last two losses. The Guardians are starting Cantillo, who has allowed 4+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Arrighetti has allowed 4, 3, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Take the over here, as neither starter is very sharp right now.