Astros vs Mariners Prediction 7/19/25 MLB Picks Today

The Houston Astros are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Saturday, July 19^th at the T-Mobile Park in the second game of this series, with the Mariners having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Astros vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance

The Houston Astros’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros

Recent betting trends in games played between the Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 52-45 record this season and are sitting in second place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 26-21 home record and 54-38 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-1 home victory over the Astros and have four consecutive wins. Over is 6-0 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Brewers and the Angels next.

The Mariners have a .250 batting average this season, a .326 OBP, and a .418 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. J.P. Crawford leads the Mariners in hits with 101 and is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Cal Raleigh leads the team both in RBI with 83 and in home runs with 38.

Logan Evans (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, and he has a 3-3 record, 3.75 ERA, and 1.35 WHIP.

Houston Astros Preview

The Houston Astros have a 56-41 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL West. The Astros have a 23-22 road record and 42-51 in over/under. They are coming off a 1-6 road defeat by the Mariners, and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games, and they are playing the Diamondbacks and the Athletics next.

The Astros have a .257 batting average this season, a .322 OBP, and a .408 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with 102 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .322 batting average. Jose Altuve leads the team in RBI with 52, while Isaac Paredes adds a team-high 19 home runs.

Lance McCullers Jr. (R) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 2-4 record, 6.48 ERA, and 1.66 WHIP.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents.
• The Astros have lost six of their last seven games.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 games against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against AL West opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Astros have won each of their last 11 games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Mariners have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Astros following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a home win.
• The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Four of the Astros’ last five night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last nine games at T-Mobile Park.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Astros and Mariners at T-Mobile Park.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 28th in the league for triples this season (5).
• The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (939).
• The Astros rank T1st in the league for hits allowed this season (721).

Astros vs Mariners Prediction

The Mariners are 4-3 in their 7 meetings against the Astros this season, and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle. Under is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings.

In this Astros vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -120 home favorites. The Astros have a better record, but they are mediocre on the road. The Mariners have the pitching advantage, as Evans has been looking good this season, and he has been terrific at home, with a 2.28 home ERA. McCullers has been terrible for the Astros lately, having given up 4+ runs in three of his last four starts. The Mariners have a better offense, and are even better against righties, and are in far better form, with four straight wins, facing an Astros team that is 1-6 in their last 7. Take the Mariners to win this one.