Astros vs Nationals Prediction 7-30-25 MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action at Daikin Park. Here’s an Astros vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include an Astros vs Nationals Pick.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 44-63 on the year and play the Brewers, Athletics, and Giants next. The Washington Nationals are batting .245 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals pitching staff has a 5.09 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. James Wood leads the Washington Nationals with 104 hits and 71 RBI, while CJ Abrams and Nathaniel Lowe have combined for 194 hits and 104 RBI.

MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 4-10 with a 3.52 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. Gore is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 8 strikeouts in his career against the Houston Astros.

Houston Astros Betting Preview

The Houston Astros are 61-47 on the year and play the Red Sox, Marlins, and Yankees next. The Houston Astros are batting .257 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and a .403 slugging percentage. The Houston Astros pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. Jose Altuve leads the Houston Astros with 110 hits and 54 RBI, while Jeremy Pena and Christian Walker have combined for 195 hits and 95 RBI.

Ryan Gusto gets the ball for the Houston Astros, and he is 6-5 with a 5.18 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be Gusto’s first career game against the Washington Nationals.

Why the Houston Astros will win

• The Nationals have lost each of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have won 12 of their last 13 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last seven Wednesday games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against American League opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• The Nationals have won each of their last six games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have lost each of their last four games at Daikin Park following a win.
• The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 13 games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
• The Astros have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 home games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

• Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Brendan Rodgers has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against the Nationals.
• Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.

Astros vs Nationals Prediction

I’m looking at the over in this spot. While an all-star, Gore has allowed 17 hits and 12 runs in his last 18.2 innings. Gore’s allowed batting average goes from .212 at home to .264 on the road. Gusto has a 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the season, and he’s allowed 18 hits and 11 runs in his last 15.2 innings. Gusto has allowed 15 runs in his last 19.2 innings. In 51 home innings, Gusto has a 6.35 ERA and .310 allowed batting average. Two pitchers in awful form. Give me the over.