In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 17th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 47-51 this season after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 3-7, 9-3, and 5-6. In game three, Houston took a 5-4 lead in the eighth inning, but they allowed one in the eighth and one in the ninth for the loss. The Astros recorded eight hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Paredes, who went 1-4 with two RBIs. Javier allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Hader picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Houston lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Rays before that.
This season, Houston has a 4.81 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 449 runs with a .242 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 31 home runs and 70 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Peter Lambert, who is 8-5 with a 3.14 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 86.0 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 46-51 this year after they swept the Royals in three games by scores of 5-3, 6-1, and 8-2. In game three, Baltimore was tied at two in the third inning, but they scored the last six runs to get the lopsided win. The Orioles recorded 12 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Taveras, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Baz allowed eight hits and two earned runs over 4.2 innings, while Wolfram picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Baltimore lost two out of three against the Cubs, but did win two out of three against the Reds before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.30 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 447 runs with a .239 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 21 home runs and 65 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 22.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last six games at Daikin Park against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has won each of the Orioles’ last four games.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games at Daikin Park against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against the Orioles.
- The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Friday games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Astros’ last eight games as favorites against the Orioles have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Orioles’ last seven games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of the Astros’ last six night games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit at least one home run in three of the Astros’ last four games as favorites.
- Peter Lambert has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
- Peter Lambert has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 11 games against AL East opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.633) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Samuel Basallo has hit at least one home run in three of the Orioles’ last four road games.
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in each of his four previous appearances with the Orioles as underdogs against the Astros.
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against the Astros.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last eight night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (427).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (34).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (880).
- The Orioles rank 4th in the league for walks this season (371).
Astros vs Orioles Prediction
Baltimore comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored 19 runs in their last three. The Orioles are 18-26 on the road this year, while the Astros are 23-24 at home. Houston has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 21 runs in those three losses. The Astros are starting Lambert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, while Kremer has allowed 4, 1, 3, and 2 earned runs in his four starts. Take the Astros here.