In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 19th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 47-53 this season after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 2-4. In game two, Houston tied the game at one in the seventh inning and at two in the 10th inning, but couldn’t score in the 11th for the loss. The Astros recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Allen, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Arrighetti allowed one hit and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while De Los Santos picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Houston lost two out of three against the Rangers and two out of three against the Nationals.
This season, Houston has a 4.75 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 453 runs with a .241 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Yordan Alvarez has led the Astros with 31 home runs and 72 RBIs, while Christian Walker has added 20 home runs and 58 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Hunter Brown, who is 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 35.1 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 48-51 this year after they won game two by a score of 4-2 in extra innings. Baltimore blew leads of 1-0 and 2-1, but finally scored two in the 11th to get the win. The Orioles recorded five hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Beavers, who went 2-3 with one RBI. Rogers allowed seven hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings, while Kittredge got the win and Sanders picked up the save. Prior to this series, Baltimore swept the Royals in three games, but lost two out of three against the Cubs before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 454 runs with a .237 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Pete Alonso has led the Orioles with 21 home runs and 66 RBIs, while Gunnar Henderson has added 17 home runs and 43 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 6-9 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won five of their last six games following an extra innings loss.
- The Orioles have lost four of their last five games against the Astros following a road win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following an extra innings loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have won the first inning in four of their last five home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last eight games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have won each of their last six games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 13 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against the Astros following a win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Astros’ last nine games following an extra innings loss have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Orioles’ last eight road games following an extra innings win have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Orioles’ last nine games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Astros’ last five day games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yainer Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Astros as favorites.
- Hunter Brown has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 13 games against AL East opponents.
- Hunter Brown has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Taylor Ward has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances at Daikin Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Astros vs Orioles Prediction
Baltimore extended their winning streak with a dramatic win on Saturday afternoon and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four straight games. The Orioles are 20-26 on the road this year, while the Astros are 23-26 at home. Houston has lost four of their last five games and they are falling back in the AL West. The Astros are starting Brown, who has allowed 3, 6, 2, 1, and 1 earned run over his last five starts, while Bradish has allowed 1, 3, 3, 0, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Take the Astros here, as I trust Brown more than Bradish.