In this article we will formulate an Astros vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 18th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 8-10 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last 13 games. Houston is coming off of a series loss to St. Louis, where they lost two out of three games by scores of 3-8, 2-0, and 1-4. In that game three loss, the Astros led 1-0 in the first inning, but they allowed three runs in the fifth and one in the sixth for the loss. Houston recorded just four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Paredes, who had their lone RBI in the loss. Houston started Blanco, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings in the loss, while VanWey, Okert, Scott, and Sousa pitched the final three innings.
Prior to that series, the Astros won two out of three against the Angels, but did lose two out of three against the Mariners before that. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 65 runs with a .220 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with three home runs and 10 RBIs, while Yordan Alvarez has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Ryan Gusto, who is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 12.0 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 15-4 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. San Diego is coming off of a series win against the Cubs, where they won two out of three games by scores of 10-4, 1-2, and 4-2. In their last game, the Padres trailed 1-0 early in the game, but they scored the next three runs and added an insurance run in the eighth for the win. The Padres recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Tatis Jr. and Machado, who both had two RBIs in the win. San Diego started Pivetta, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings in the win, while Suarez picked up the save in the ninth.
Prior to that series, the Padres won all three against the Rockies and two out of three against the Athletics. The San Diego pitching staff has a 2.56 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .193 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 88 runs with a .274 batting average and a .348 on base percentage this season. Fernando Tatis has led San Diego with six home runs and 14 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added two home runs and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Kyle Hart, who is 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 11.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Astros will beat the Padres
- The Astros have won 14 of their last 15 home games following a road loss.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six night games at Daikin Park following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five road games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games against the Padres at Daikin Park.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Padres will beat the Astros
- The Padres have won each of their last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Padres and Astros at Daikin Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Padres’ last seven games as underdogs against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Astros’ last 15 home games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Padres’ last six games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Isaac Paredes has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games as home favorites.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Astros’ last five games as home favorites.
- Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last seven home games against NL West opponents.
- Jose Altuve has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last eight games as home favorites against NL opponents.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last eight games.
- Jake Meyers ranks T5th in the league in Steals (6) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances at Daikin Park.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Padres’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in 15 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Luis Campusano has scored at least one run in each of his last four road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (6) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (16).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for hits this season (127).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.274).
- The Padres rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.348).
Astros vs Padres Prediction
San Diego comes into this series as one of the top teams in the MLB right now, but they are just 3-3 on the road. The Padres have won six of their last seven games and they have one of the best team ERA’s in all of baseball. Houston has not been able to string wins together this season and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five games. I know the Astros have had a hard time at the plate, but they should be able to get to Hart, who allowed five earned runs in his first road start. Take the over here.