Astros vs. Phillies Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 4/29/23
Philadelphia Phillies (13-13) vs. Houston Astros (14-11)
April 29, 2023 5:10 pm EDT
The Line: Houston Astros -125 / Philadelphia Phillies +105; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Houston Astros meet in MLB action from Minute Maid Park on Saturday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
Houston is a -125 home favorite while Philadelphia is a +105 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Zack Wheeler will start here and is 2-1 with a 4.73 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Cristian Javier will start here and he is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
Houston’s 3-1 loss to the Phillies on Friday snapped the Astros’ three-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup.
Trends
Philadelphia is 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 6-1 in their last 7 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning record. Houston is 9-1 in their last 10 Saturday games and 8-2 in their last 10 interleague games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games.
Pick
I’m backing the Astros here. Do I love backing the Astros? I haven’t for much of the season, but they have the more trustworthy lineup here and Zack wheeler hasn’t looked all that great early on this season and has allowed 7 runs over 11 innings of work in his last two starts. Cristian Javier is a solid arm for the Astros, and he’s allowed one run or less in three of his last four starts. All in all, I like the Astros to win a low-scoring game here.