The Philadelphia Phillies and the Houston Astros meet Tuesday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Astros vs Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez for the start here, and Suarez is 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Suarez’s second career start against the Astros. Framber Valdez will get the start for the Astros here and is 8-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 99 strikeouts this season. In his career, Valdez is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 13 strikeouts against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 7-1 win over the New York Mets last time out to sit at 47-31 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Phillies Win 8 Of Their Last 10
Nick Castellanos has 84 hits with 21 doubles, including 8 home runs and 41 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 71 hits with a team-high 24 home runs and 55 RBIs, but also has a team-high 88 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs, and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 94 hits with a team-high 19 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 8 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers, and 34 RBIs, while Stott also has 12 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Astros have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have won each of their last four games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Astros’ last 10 games at Daikin Park.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of the Phillies’ last seven games as underdogs against the Astros.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Alec Bohm has scored a run in each of the Phillies’ last six road games against AL West opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (94) this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to build on their 8-7 win over the Los Angeles Angels last time out to sit at 45-33 on the year. After this series, the Astros will square off against the Chicago Cubs in a set at home.
Astros Win 7 Of Their Last 10
Jose Altuve has 78 hits, including 10 doubles, 12 home runs, and 34 RBIs. Jeremy Pena also has 99 hits with 16 doubles, 11 homers, and 40 RBIs with 15 stolen bases, while Yordan Alvarez has 4 doubles and 18 RBIs with 21 strikeouts as well. Jake Meyers has 13 doubles as well, and Christian Walker has 10 home runs and 37 RBIs, but has also accrued a team-high 86 strikeouts so far this season. Altuve also has 6 stolen bases, while Jake Meyers has 13 stolen bases this season. Isaac Paredes also has a team-high 16 home runs with 45 RBIs of his own, and Cam Smith has contributed 5 homers and 27 RBIs.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last five games at Daikin Park.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last four games.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven road games against AL West opponents following a win.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last two games as favorites.
- Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded a Double in each of the Astros’ last three home games against NL opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances.
- Jeremy Pena has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last eight home games.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Astros as home favorites.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jeremy Pena ranks 3rd in the league in Hits (99) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Phillies and Astros have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games as road underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Astros vs Phillies Prediction
I’m leaning towards the under here. I think this could end up shaping out as a bit of a pitcher’s duel, and I think this could be a game where both starters see 7 strong innings. Furthermore, I don’t think it will be a game where the offenses are terrible; it’s just a matter of running into two quality starting options. Give me the under here.