In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 12th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 55-39 this season after they lost game one by a score of 7-3 on Friday. Houston cut the deficit to 5-3 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings for the loss. The Astros recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Caratini, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Houston started McCullers Jr., who allowed six hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Gusto allowed two earned runs in relief.
Prior to this series, the Astros lost all three games against the Guardians, but did win all three against the Dodgers before that. Houston has lost four games in a row, and they are currently first in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 412 runs with a .260 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with 19 home runs and 49 RBIs, while Jose Altuve has added 16 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 10-4 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 115.0 innings pitched this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 47-48 this year after they won the first game in this series on Friday night. Texas jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first inning, and they led the whole way for the victory. The Rangers recorded 13 hits in the game, and they were led by Langford, Heim, and Carter, who all had two RBIs in the win. Texas started Leiter, who allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Armstrong picked up a hold.
Prior to this series, the Rangers split four games with the Angels and lost two out of three against the Padres. Texas has won three of its last four games, and they are currently third in the AL West standings. The Texas pitching staff has a 3.30 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 384 runs with a .233 batting average and a .302 on-base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia has led Texas with 12 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Corey Seager has added 13 home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jacob deGrom, who is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Astros will beat the Rangers
- The Astros have won 11 of their last 12 games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Rangers have lost each of their last 13 Saturday night games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against AL West opponents following a road win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Saturday night games against the Rangers at Daikin Park.
Why the Rangers will beat the Astros
- The underdogs have won each of the Astros’ last eight games.
- The Astros have lost each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last eight games.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday road games.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in six of their last seven games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last six games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Astros’ last seven games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last seven games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the last 10 games between the Rangers and Astros at Daikin Park.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Astros as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Victor Caratini has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Astros as favorites against the Rangers.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded a Double in each of his last five Saturday appearances at Daikin Park.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances.
- Jake Meyers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Wyatt Langford has hit a home run in four of the Rangers’ last five games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against AL West opponents.
- Jacob deGrom has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Astros vs Rangers Prediction
Houston comes into this matchup trying to snap a four-game losing streak, but they still have a six-game lead in the division. The Astros are 32-18 at home this year, while the Rangers are 21-29 on the road. Texas is trying to stay in the division race, and they are starting deGrom, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Houston is going with Valdez, who has also allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. This should be a great pitching matchup, and I like the under in this contest.