In this article, we will formulate an Astros vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 30th at Daikin Park in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 16-13 this season after they won games one and two by scores of 8-5 and 6-4. In their game two win, Houston trailed 2-0 in the sixth, but they scored six straight runs to pull away with the win. The Astros recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-4 with three RBIs in the win. Houston started Gusto, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Sousa was credited with the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Royals, but did sweep the Blue Jays in three games before that. Houston has won three games in a row, and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.27 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and a .209 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 113 runs with a .236 batting average and a .308 on-base percentage this season. Isaac Paredes has led Houston with four home runs and 14 RBIs, while Yordan Alvarez has added three home runs, 18 RBIs, and one stolen base this year. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is AJ Blubaugh, who is making his first MLB start.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 18-12 this year, and they have lost the first two games in this series. In their Game 2 loss, the Tigers led 2-0 in the fifth, but they fell apart in the sixth and seventh, before rallying for two runs in the ninth in the loss. Detroit recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Torres, who went 3-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the loss. The Tigers started Olson, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings in the loss, while Vest allowed five hits and three earned runs in 1.0 inning of relief work.
Prior to this series, the Tigers swept the Orioles in three games and won two out of three against the Padres. Detroit has won four of its last six games, and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 2.97 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 138 runs with a .243 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson has led Detroit with eight home runs and 24 RBIs, while Kerry Carpenter has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jackson Jobe, who is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 20.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tigers will beat the Astros
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight day games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Astros have lost each of their last seven day games following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last 11 Wednesday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games following a win.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Astros’ last four day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven day games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last six day games against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last nine home games against AL Central opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last nine home games against AL opponents.
- Christian Walker has scored a run in seven of his last eight home appearances.
- Christian Walker has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Javier Baez has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Parker Meadows has scored a run in each of his last six appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Astros vs Tigers Prediction
Houston has won the first two games in this series, and they will be going for the series sweep here, but Detroit has the pitching advantage. The Tigers are going with Jobe, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. Houston is going with Blubaugh, who is making his first MLB start. This Detroit lineup has been very solid this year, and I think it is a very tough draw for Blubaugh’s first start. Take Detroit to get the big win here and avoid the sweep.