In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 22nd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 52-49 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 30-22 home record and are coming off a 6-5 home win against the Athletics. They will face the Nationals and the Pirates next.
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a .237 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Ketel Marte is the team’s best hitter with a .256 batting average, leads the team in RBI with 59, and adds a team-high 18 home runs.
Merrill Kelly (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he has a 7-8 record, 5.20 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 43-58 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 23-28 away record and are coming off a 5-6 road loss against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Twins and the Red Sox next.
The Athletics have a .247 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .406 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 5.29 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Nick Kurtz is the team’s best hitter with a .266 batting average, adding a team-high 66 RBI. Shea Langeliers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Gage Jump (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 3-5 record, 3.78 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Athletics @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: July 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Merrill Kelly Record this season: 7-8 ERA: 5.20
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Athletics: 2-1
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Athletics have lost each of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Gage Jump Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 3.78
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: –
Why the Athletics will win
- The Athletics have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
- The Athletics have covered the run line each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last five games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Athletics’ last four games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last six day games between the Athletics and Diamondbacks.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Athletics’ last seven Wednesday day games against National League opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Merrill Kelly has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Merrill Kelly has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites against AL opponents.
- Max Kepler has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Corbin Carroll is one of only seven players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Jacob Wilson has hit a home run in three of the Athletics’ last four games.
- Gage Jump has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Athletics as underdogs.
- Tyler Soderstrom has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (690).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (690).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (158).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (158).
Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction
The Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Athletics and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Arizona.
In this Athletics vs Diamondbacks Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -120 home favorites. I like the Diamondbacks in this one, as Kelly has finally got things together and has given up just one run in each of his last two starts, while Jump has been struggling lately for the A’s, having given up 13 total runs in three of his last four starts. On top of that, the A’s have the worst bullpen in baseball and the Dbacks a far better offense in their last 10 games. Take the Dbacks to win this one at home.