In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Mariners Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, September 4th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 66-75 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the AL West. They have a 37-32 home record and are coming off a 4-7 home loss against the Athletics. They will face the Rangers and the Athletics next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .229 batting average this season, .310 OBP, and .376 slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the Mariners’ best hitter with a .273 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 66, adding a team-high 22 home runs.
Logan Gilbert (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, with an 11-8 record, 3.42 ERA, and 1.04 WHIP.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 55-86 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 30-42 road record and are coming off a 7-4 road win against the Mariners. They will face the Blue Jays and the Mariners next.
The Athletics have a .247 batting average this season, .321 OBP, and .404 slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 5.44 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. Jeff McNeil is the Athletics’ best hitter with a .270 batting average. Nick Kurtz leads the team in RBI with 69, while Shea Langeliers adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Kade Morris (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, with a 0-1 record, 9.82 ERA, and 2.11 WHIP.
Athletics @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: September 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 11-8 ERA: 3.42
- Home Record: 8-4
- Last 5 against Athletics: 3-0
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Mariners have won 12 of their last 13 home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have lost 10 of their last 12 night games following a win.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against AL opponents following a road win.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in six of their last eight games against AL West opponents following a loss.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six night games.
- The Athletics have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games.
- The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kade Morris Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 9.82
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Mariners: –
Why the Athletics will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
- The underdogs have won four of the Mariners’ last five games.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Friday home games.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Athletics and Mariners.
- The Mariners have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Athletics’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against AL West opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Athletics’ last five games at T-Mobile Park.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of his last four appearances against the Athletics after playing the previous day.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded a win in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last eight games against the Athletics.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Donnie Walton has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Lawrence Butler has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last 15 games against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (559).
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (170).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.44).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for runs allowed this season (809).
Athletics vs Mariners Prediction
The Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Athletics but are 1-3 in their last 4 meetings in Seattle.
In this Athletics vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -210 home favorites. Once again this total is too low for no reason. Kade Morris has been atrocious in limited action for the A’s and has given up 9 runs in 4 innings pitched on the road. Logan Gilbert has not been in good shape either, with 8 earned runs in his last three starts and has been weaker at home. On top of that, both teams have bottom-7 bullpen ERA’s and both offenses have been in good form, averaging 11.3 runs per game against righties in their last 5 games and are a perfect 9-0 to the over in their last 9 games combined. Take the over 7 in this one.
