The Athletics are visiting the Miami Marlins on Friday, May 2nd, at the loanDepot park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Athletics vs Marlins Prediction. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
The Athletics’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Oakland Athletics
Recent betting trends in games played between the Oakland Athletics vs Miami Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Oakland Athletics vs Miami Marlins game
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 12-18 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL East. The Marlins have an 8-8 home record and 21-9 in over/under. They are coming off a 7-12 road defeat by the Los Angeles Dodgers, losing their fifth game in a row. Over is 6-0 in their last 6 games, and they are playing the Dodgers and the White Sox next. The Marlins have a .255 batting average this season, .317 OBP, and .388 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 5.89 ERA and 1.59 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 33 hits, while Kyle Stowers leads the team in RBI, with 19, and is the team’s best hitter with a .323 batting average.
Valente Bellozo (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 0-1 record, 2.25 ERA, and 1.63 WHIP. He had a 3.67 ERA across 13 starts last season, and this will be his first career start versus the Athletics.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 17-15 record this season and are sitting in third place in the AL West. The Athletics have an 11-6 road record and 14-14 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-0 road victory over the Texas Rangers, and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 games, and they are playing the Mariners and the Yankees next. The Athletics have a .253 batting average this season, .313 OBP, and .419 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 4.45 ERA and 1.45 WHIP. Jacob Wilson leads the Athletics with 39 hits and a team-high .331 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom leads the team with 24 RBI and 9 home runs.
Gunnar Hoglund (R) will take the mound for the Athletics, and this will be his major league debut. He has been terrific through six Triple-A starts so far in 2025.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Athletics have lost each of their last three games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Athletics following a loss.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against National League opponents.
- The Athletics have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Athletics will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last seven home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Athletics have won each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in 11 of their last 12 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Athletics’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Athletics’ last eight Friday night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.89).
- The Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (137).
- The Athletics rank 30th in the league for steals this season (10).
- The Athletics rank T28th in the league for walks allowed this season (127).
Athletics vs Marlins Prediction
In their only series last season, the Athletics won 2-1, as two games went way over the total with 24 and 15 total runs. The Marlins are 7-3 in their last 10 overall meetings, and 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Miami. Over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Athletics vs Marlins Prediction, the Athletics are coming as -135 road favorites. The Athletics are rightfully favored, as they have a better record this season and are coming into this matchup in far better form. Playing on the road is not an issue for the A’s this season, as they are 11-6 on the road, and they also have a better bullpen than Miami. I don’t really trust any of those pitchers, but someone has to win in this one, and I trust the better team to take care of business in this one. Take the Oakland Athletics on the moneyline.