In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, May 9th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 17-22 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the AL East. They have a 9-10 home record and are coming off a 3-4 loss at home against the Marlins. They will face the Yankees and the Nationals next.
The Orioles have a .232 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .386 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.83 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average. Jeremiah Jackson leads the team in RBI with 24, and Gunnar Henderson adds a team‑high 9 home runs.
Shane Baz (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 1-3 record, 4.99 ERA and 1.54 WHIP.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 20-18 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL West. They have a 12-10 away record and are coming off a 4-3 win on the road against the Orioles. They will face the Cardinals and the Giants next.
The Athletics have a .250 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Oakland’s pitching staff has a 4.53 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Shea Langeliers is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average, also adding a team‑high 11 home runs. Tyler Soderstrom leads the team in RBI with 20.
Aaron Civale (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Athletics, and he has a 3-1 record, 2.95 ERA and 1.34 WHIP.
Athletics @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 9, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Baz Record this season: 1-3 ERA: 4.99
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Athletics: 1-1
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Athletics have lost five of their last six day games against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 Saturday day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against the Athletics at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Civale Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.95
- Road Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Orioles: 2-1
Why the Athletics will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last 13 Saturday games against American League opponents.
- The Athletics have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Orioles.
- The Athletics have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Athletics have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games.
- The Athletics have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last nine day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Athletics’ last seven day games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six Saturday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Athletics’ last six day games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Adley Rutschman has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances.
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last nine games.
- Taylor Ward ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.420) this season.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Shea Langeliers has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Nick Kurtz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last nine road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shea Langeliers ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (48) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (4.81).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.268).
- The Athletics rank 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (165).
- The Athletics rank 26th in the league for home runs allowed this season (49).
Athletics vs Orioles Prediction
The Athletics are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Orioles and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Baltimore.
In this Athletics vs Orioles Prediction, the Orioles are coming as -135 home favorites. The Orioles have been struggling lately with a 2-7 record in their last 9 games and are putting a struggling Shane Baz on the mound, who has given up 4+ runs in three of his last four starts. On the flip side, Civale has been good so far this season and even better on the road and the A’s are better against right-handed pitching so they can offer him run support, so I like them as road dogs in this spot. Take the A’s on the moneyline for plus money.