In this article, we will formulate an Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, September 18th at the Fenway Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Preview
The Boston Red Sox have an 83-69 record this season and are sitting on the third place of the AL East. The Red Sox have a 46-31 home record and are 72-76 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the A’s, but are 2-4 in their last 6 games. They are 6-1-1 to the under in their last 8 games and are playing the Rays and the Blue Jays next.
The Red Sox have a .254 batting average this season, .324 OBP and .423 slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Trevor Story leads the Red Sox with 152 hits, while is the team’s best hitter, with a .266 batting average. He also leads the team in RBI, with 92, adding a team-high 24 home runs.
Brayan Bello (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 11-7 record, 3.25 ERA and 1.22 WHIP.
Athletics Preview
The Athletics have a 71-81 record this season and are sitting on the last place of the AL West. The Athletics have a 38-39 road record and are 75-70 in over/under. They are coming off a 11-5 home victory over the Reds, and have three straight wins. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games and are playing the Astros and the Pirates next.
The Athletics have a .255 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .436 Slugging percentage. Athletics’ pitching staff has a 4.73 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Brent Rooker leads the Athletics with 159 hits, while Jacob Wilson is the team’s best hitter with a .321 batting average. Tyler Soderstrom adds a team-high 89 RBI, while Nick Kurtz adds a team-high 32 home runs.
J.T. Ginn (R) is the projected starter for the Athletics, and he has a 3-6 record, 4.69 ERA, and 1.34 WHIP.
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox Betting Trends: September 18, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello Record this season: 11-7 ERA: 3.25
- Home Record: 8-4
- Last 5 against Athletics: 1-1
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Athletics have lost 11 of their last 12 road games following an extra innings loss.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Athletics have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
- The Athletics have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against American League opponents.
- The Athletics have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine home day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: J.T. Ginn Record this season: 3-6 ERA: 4.69
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Red Sox: –
Why the Athletics will win
- The Athletics have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites following an extra innings win.
- The Athletics have covered the run line in 18 of their last 19 games as road underdogs.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Athletics have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Thursday day games.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Athletics’ last five road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Athletics and Red Sox have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Athletics’ last nine games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against American League opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded a Double in six of his last seven appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Red Sox as home favorites against AL West opponents.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against AL West opponents.
Athletics Player Prop Facts
- Brent Rooker has recorded at least one hit in each of the Athletics’ last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Athletics as road underdogs.
- Jacob Wilson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.317) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (303).
- The Red Sox are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
- The Athletics rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (276).
- The Athletics rank 3rd in the league for slugging percentage this season (.437).
Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Athletics, and are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings Boston. Under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 meetings.
In this Athletics vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -155 home favorites. The A’s have been playing good baseball lately and are playing spoiler against teams looking to get into the playoffs, but I trust the Red Sox in a reasonable price at home in this one. They are putting Bello on the mound, who has been solid this season, and the Red Sox have a far better bullpen to back him up, and a better offense. Take the Boston Red Sox to get the job done at home in this one.