In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 9th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this makeup game.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 78-65 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Rockies, lost three out of four against the Phillies, and swept the Twins. Atlanta is 5-5 in their last 10 games and they are tied for second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 610 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .306 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 69-75 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss against the Mets, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Reds swept the Astros, lost three out of four against the Brewers, and lost two out of three against the Athletics. Cincinnati is 6-8 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.11 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Reds’ offense has scored 641 runs with a .233 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .261 with 23 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Charlie Morton, who is 8-7 with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 142.1 innings pitched this year. Morton has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Martinez, who is 7-6 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 115.1 innings pitched this season. Martinez has alternated good and bad starts over his last four.
Why the Braves will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 night games at Truist Park after going to extra innings.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last five games after going to extra innings.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last nine home games against National League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last seven night games after playing the previous day has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Charlie Morton has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against the Reds.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Morton has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in eight of his last nine home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Will Benson has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 Monday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
- TJ Friedl has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against the Braves.
- Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 Monday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Atlanta is coming off a series win against Toronto, and they are locked into a battle for the last Wild Card spot with the Mets. The Braves are 40-30 at home this season, while the Reds are 33-36 on the road. Cincinnati has been pretty solid when looking at their hitting and pitching numbers this year, but it has not translated into wins.
I am not the biggest Charlie Morton fan and I don’t really trust him, but he has pitched very well in recent outings. On the other side, Martinez has been very up and down recently, so I am going to back Morton and the Braves here. Take Atlanta to win by at least two runs.