In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, September 3rd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 74-63 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Atlanta is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they dropped three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Braves swept the Twins, won two out of three against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Phillies. Atlanta is 7-4 in their last 11 games and they are second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 589 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .306 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 51-87 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss against Baltimore, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rockies split four games with the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Yankees, and lost two out of three against the Nationals. Colorado is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL West.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.53 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .287 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 591 runs with a .245 batting average and a .307 on-base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .246 with 17 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Rockies this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 15-3 with a 2.58 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP over 153.2 innings pitched this season. Sale has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 4-6 with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 85.0 innings pitched this year. Freeland has allowed two earned runs in two straight starts against the Yankees and Marlins.
Why the Braves will beat the Rockies
- The Braves have won each of their last seven games at Truist Park following an extra innings loss.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following an extra innings loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games at Truist Park.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL West opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Rockies at Truist Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six home games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rockies’ last five night games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last five night games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last three games at Truist Park.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against the Rockies.
- Sean Murphy has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against the Rockies after not playing the previous day.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Single in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 21 home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Matt Olson has scored at least one run in eight of the Braves’ last nine games.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one Single in each of the Rockies’ last seven games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances against NL opponents.
- Ezequiel Tovar has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jacob Stallings has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Rockies against NL opponents.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded a Double in each of the Rockies’ last three games against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction
Atlanta comes into this game in the middle of the NL Wild Card race, and they can’t afford to lose games against bad teams right now. The Braves are 36-28 at home this year, while the Rockies are 19-50 on the road. Colorado has been competitive at home this season, but they have been dreadful on the road.
The Braves have a big starting pitching advantage with Sale on the mound, as he has been one of the best in the MLB this season, but Atlanta is such a big favorite that there isn’t much value on the -1.5. I will lay the -2.5 with Atlanta in this game, but it isn’t my favorite play of the day.