The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Sunday in MLB action from Truist Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Atlanta, Nola is 2-1 with a 5.53 ERA and 29 strikeouts. Chris Sale will start for the Braves here and is 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Philadelphia, Sale is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 36 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to add on to their 8-5 win over the Braves on Saturday to sit at 9-18 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Phillies Snap Double Digit Slide
Going into Saturday, Adolis Garcia has 22 hits with 4 doubles, 3 home runs and 6 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 18 hits with 4 doubles, 8 home runs and 15 RBIs. Brandon Marsh has 25 hits with 4 doubles, 4 home runs and 14 RBIs while Justin Crawford also has 18 hits with 5 doubles, a triple and 3 RBIs. Trea Turner has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 9 RBIs and Bryce Harper’s added 25 hits with 5 doubles, 6 home runs and 14 RBIs this season.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Phillies from Saturday to fall to 19-9 this season. After this series, the Braves will take on the Detroit Tigers in a series at home.
Braves Looking For Another Series Win
Going into Saturday, Drake Baldwin has 34 hits with 4 doubles, 7 home runs and 23 RBIs while Matt Olson has 31 hits with 11 doubles, 7 homers and 22 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 32 hits with 3 doubles, 5 home runs and 15 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 24 hits with 5 doubles, a triple, 2 home runs and 8 RBIs. Austin Riley has 22 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 16 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 28 hits with 4 doubles, 6 home runs and 18 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 26 hits with 7 doubles, 2 home runs and 14 RBIs this season.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: April 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chris Sale Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 2.79
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: 2-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games against the Braves following a win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Sunday games against the Phillies at Truist Park.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 5.06
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Braves: 2-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have won eight of their last nine day games against the Braves following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Phillies and Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games at Truist Park after going to extra innings.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in six of their last seven games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven home games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Phillies’ last six games as underdogs against the Braves have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Braves’ last eight games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Phillies’ last five road games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
- Chris Sale has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 11 home games.
- Sean Murphy has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against the Phillies.
- Ozzie Albies ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (35) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit a home run in two of the Phillies’ last three road games against NL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL East opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T9th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (160).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (266).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.285).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (276).
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction
I’m on the Braves in this one. I just think that the Braves are still the team in better form despite their loss to the Phillies in extra innings on Saturday, and the fact of the matter is that the Phillies have struggled big time against lefties for much of the season. I think the Braves bounce back and win the set so give me Atlanta in this one.
