The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves meet Wednesday in MLB action from Truist Park. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Braves vs Phillies pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
In their weekend set the Phillies took on the Washington Nationals. Philadelphia won the first three of those matchups before a 6-4 loss Sunday. In the opener versus the Braves on Tuesday, the Phillies took a 3-1 loss. Starter Zack Wheeler finished with 6.0 innings and two earned.
As starter for game two the Phillies will go with Aaron Nola. In 25 starts this year Nola is 11-6 with a 3.45 ERA. In 260 career starts Nola is 101-77 with a 3.69 ERA.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
Over on the Braves’ side, they lost to the Los Angeles Angels back on Friday but won both weekend games 11-3 and 3-1. In the Tuesday matchup Atlanta out-hit the Phillies 7-5. Reynaldo Lopez struck out 10 batters in 5.0 innings with one earned run as starter.
Max Fried will start for the Braves on Wednesday. This year Fried is 7-7 with a 3.62 ERA in 21 starts. Fried is 69-33 with a 3.12 ERA in 160 games (143 starts) over his career.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last seven home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games as home favorites.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has scored a run in seven of the Braves’ last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against the Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in three of the Phillies’ last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one total base in each of the Phillies’ last 14 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Wednesday night appearances.
- Trea Turner has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four night games.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 14 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’ll stay with the Phillies. Both starters could use a good outing, though. Nola put up 6.2 clean frames versus the Nationals in his last start. In two starts prior however, Nola was 0-2 with seven earned in 11.0 innings. As for Fried, he’s 0-2 with 12 earned runs in 13.2 innings over his last three starts.
On Tuesday the Phillies had a pretty slow offensive day outside of Alec Bohm’s 2-for-4 outing (and a run). Overall the pitching wasn’t horrendous, but Jose Alvarado (0.2 innings; one earned; four walks) didn’t have his best day. Philly needs a solid bounce-back Wednesday.