In this article we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 22nd at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 67-59 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Atlanta won game one in this series by a score of 3-1 on Tuesday, but they lost on Wednesday. Prior to this series, the Braves won two out of three against the Angels, won three out of four against the Giants, and lost two out of three against the Rockies. Atlanta is 6-3 in their last nine games and they are second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 542 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .309 with 37 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 74-52 this year and they have lost two of their last three games. Philadelphia won game two in this series by a score of 3-2 on Wednesday night. Prior to this series, the Phillies won three out of four against the Nationals, split two games with the Marlins, and lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks. Philadelphia is 5-2 in their last seven games and they are first in the NL East.
The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 610 runs with a .257 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .295 with 13 home runs and 85 RBI’s for the Phillies this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 4-6 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 75.2 innings pitched this year. Schwellenbach has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Cristopher Sanchez, who is 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 140.1 innings pitched this season. Sanchez has allowed six earned runs or more in two of his last four starts.
Why the Braves will beat the Phillies
- The Phillies have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have won five of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Braves following a road win.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last seven Thursday night games as home favorites against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games as home favorites.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last nine games as favorites.
- Ozzie Albies has hit a home run in four of the Braves’ last five games as favorites against the Phillies.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 12 appearances with the Braves as favorites against the Phillies.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in 21 of his last 22 home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in 16 of his last 17 home appearances against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances.
- Nick Castellanos has hit at least one home run in three of his last four Thursday night appearances against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Thursday appearances.
- Austin Hays has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
These two teams come into this game first and second in the NL East standings, but the Phillies have a very comfortable lead at the moment. Philadelphia hasn’t played great over the last month, but they have done enough to hold the Braves and Mets off. Philly is 32-29 on the road, while Atlanta is 33-27 at home this year. These two starting pitchers have similar numbers on the season, but Sanchez has had some issues on the road. My Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Braves to win.