In this article, we will formulate an Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 6th at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 76-64 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Colorado, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves lost three out of four against the Phillies, won all three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Nationals. Atlanta is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they are tied for second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 598 runs with a .241 batting average and a .306 on-base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .307 with 37 home runs and 98 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 67-74 this year and they have lost three games in a row. Toronto is coming off of a series loss against Philadelphia, where they lost both games and allowed 14 runs. Prior to that series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Twins, split four games with the Red Sox, and swept the Angels. Toronto is 2-6 in their last eight games and they are last in the AL East.
The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 598 runs with a .241 batting average and a .313 on-base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .328 with 28 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 8-8 with a 3.52 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 140.2 innings pitched this year. Fried has allowed two earned runs or fewer in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 12-10 with a 4.07 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 157.0 innings pitched this season. Gausman has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Blue Jays will beat the Braves
- The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine games against the Braves.
- The Braves have lost each of their last eight games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a home loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Braves.
- The Blue Jays have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last nine home games has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last seven night games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded a win in four of his five previous appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves’ last 13 home games against AL opponents.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Double in four of the Braves’ last five home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jarred Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 home games against AL opponents.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Daulton Varsho has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents.
- Alejandro Kirk has recorded an RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded a Single in seven of his last eight appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
- Daulton Varsho has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances against NL opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bo Bichette has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last five games at Truist Park.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.328) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1338).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (130).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (191).
- The Toronto Blue Jays rank 27th in the league for steals this season (65).
Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
Atlanta comes into this series after winning two out of three against Colorado, but they did let one get away on Thursday night. The Braves are 38-29 at home this year, while the Blue Jays are just 33-39 on the road. The Braves are currently tied with the Mets, so they need as many wins as they can get. Both of these pitchers have been pretty strong recently, but I really like what I have seen from Gausman over his last five starts. Take the Blue Jays here.