The Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles meet Thursday in MLB action from Globe Life Field. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Orioles vs Red Sox pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Red Sox are fresh off a series versus the Texas Rangers. Boston won the first two games of that series 5-4 and 9-4. In the finale the Sox took a 9-7 loss. Starter Tanner Houck finished with 6.2 innings and two earned runs.
In the starter slot for Thursday it’ll be Boston’s Nick Pivetta. This year Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.44 ERA in 18 starts. Pivetta is 55-66 with a 4.82 ERA in 214 career games (170 starts).
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Over on the Orioles’ side, they played a pair of games versus the Washington Nationals this week. Baltimore lost 9-3 in the opener matchup, then on Wednesday the O’s rolled to a 4-1 victory. Dean Kremer went 6.0 innings with one earned run in the start.
As starter for Thursday’s game the Orioles are going with Zach Eflin. So far Eflin is 8-7 with a 3.83 ERA in 22 starts. Eflin is 60-60 with a 4.22 ERA in 180 career games (168 starts).
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last eight games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Sixteen of the Orioles’ last 20 games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three games against AL East opponents.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in seven of the Orioles’ last 11 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Cedric Mullins has recorded a Double in three of the Orioles’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ryan Mountcastle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Zach Eflin has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Danny Jansen has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Thursday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Dominic Smith has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Dominic Smith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL opponents.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
I might try the Red Sox here, but I’m probably staying away. Pivetta has been spotty at best lately. Over his last three starts combined Pivetta is 1-1 with 12 earned runs in 14.0 innings total. In his last pair Pivetta has five earned in 11.1 innings combined. Eflin is 3-0 with just five earned in 19.1 innings over his last three starts, though.
On Wednesday the Sox blew a 4-2 lead amid a bullpen breakdown. Boston could get a great start from Pivetta in the opener and cruise from there, but I’m not touching this one.