In this article we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 25th at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the series.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 76-55 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Baltimore lost the first game in this series, but they won games two and three by scores of 7-5 and 3-2. Prior to this series, the Orioles lost two out of three against the Mets, split four games with the Red Sox, and split two games with the Nationals. Baltimore is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are battling with the Yankees in the AL East.
The Baltimore pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 655 runs with a .253 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson is batting .284 with 33 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Orioles this season.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
The Houston Astros are 69-60 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Houston won game one in this series by a score of 6-0, but they have dropped the last two. Prior to this series, the Astros lost two out of three against the Red Sox, won two out of three against the White Sox, and swept the Rays in three games. Houston is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are first in the AL West.
The Houston pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .229 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 589 runs with a .260 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Jose Altuve is batting .299 with 18 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Astros this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Dean Kremer, who is 6-9 with a 4.30 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this year. Kremer has allowed two total earned runs in his last two starts (12.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 6-9 with a 4.37 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 138.0 innings pitched this season. Kikuchi has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four starts with Houston this year.
Why the Astros will beat the Orioles
- The Astros have won five of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a loss.
- The Orioles have lost five of their last six night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards following a win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Astros’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Orioles’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Astros’ last five Sunday games.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Dean Kremer has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a winning record.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Astros.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous home appearances against the Astros.
- Dean Kremer has recorded five or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 13 home appearances against AL opponents.
- Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last eight Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against the Astros.
- Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Orioles’ last six Sunday games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Eloy Jimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous home appearances against the Astros.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against the Orioles.
- Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of the Astros’ last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 11 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one Single in each of the Astros’ last eight games.
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
- Yainer Diaz has recorded at least one total base in each of the Astros’ last 11 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Prediction
Baltimore comes into this game after picking up two huge wins on Friday and Saturday, as they continue to do battle with the Yankees in the AL East. The Orioles are 39-29 at home this year, while the Astros are 34-31 on the road. Houston has a decent lead in the AL West, but they have struggled in their last five games. Both of these starting pitchers have been decent in recent outings, but Kikuchi has looked like a completely different pitcher since coming over from Toronto. My Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros prediction is for the Astros to get the win.