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Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 10-1-24 MLB Picks

Kansas City Royals (86-76) vs. Baltimore Orioles (91-71)
October 1, 2024 4:08 pm EDT
The Line: Baltimore Orioles -148 / Kansas City Royals +136; Over/Under: 7
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction for MLB playoff game 1 on Tuesday, October 1st, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Orioles Have Confidence

The Orioles have a ton of confidence heading into this game after sweeping the Minnesota Twins over the weekend. The last month heading into that series, the pitching was inconsistent, but in the three games, they scored 22 runs total. Also in September, the Orioles lost five series, including two to the Detroit Tigers. On Sunday, the Orioles were able to secure the 6-2 victory. Catcher James McCann had a strong game, putting up three RBIs and a home run. Jordan Westburgh also finished with a hit and drove in two RBIs. 

The good news for the Orioles right now is, outside of pitchers, they are pretty healthy. On the season, the Orioles have scored 786 runs, which is 4th in the league. The pitching staff as a team has an ERA of 3.94 which is 14th. The pitching is going to need to be good here. On the season, Anthony Santander has hit 44 home runs and driven in 102 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Orioles in this game will be Corbin Burnes who finished the regular season with a 15-9 and an ERA of 2.92. In his last start against the New York Yankees, he went five innings, giving up two hits and one run. 

What a Turnaround for the Royals

After last season, there weren’t many expectations for the Royals, but they finished the regular season with an 86-76 record after their win on Sunday against the Atlanta Braves. Alec Marsh went five innings, giving up five hits and one run. Michael Massay hit a home run and also drove in three RBIs. 

The Royals are pretty healthy, but they are missing their starting first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. The Royals so far this season have scored 735 runs, which is 14th in baseball. They have a team ERA of 3.76 which is 9th in the league. Bobby Witt has hit 32 home runs and driven in 109 RBIs so far this season. Getting the start for the Royals will be Cole Ragans who finished the regular season with an 11-9 record and an ERA of 3.14. In his last start against the Washington Nationals, he went six innings giving up three hits and zero runs. 

Royals vs Orioles Total Run Facts

  • Seven of the Royals’ last eight road games have gone UNDER the total run line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last five-day games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last three-day games against American League opponents.

Baltimore Orioles vs Kansas City Royals Prediction

The Orioles and Royals are both going to really struggle to get the offense going here. Ragans has been good heading into this game and in his last start he gave up three hits and zero runs. Burnes sits with an ERA of 2.92 and in his last start he gave up only two hits and one run. The Royals and Orioles are both going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and this game is going to be lower-scoring. Back the under to cash here. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Under

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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