Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 05-19-2023 MLB Picks

Chris RuffoloMay 19, 2023
Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 05-19-2023 MLB Picks player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Baltimore Orioles and the Toronto Blue Jays meet in an AL East division matchup from Rogers Centre on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


Toronto is a -145 home favorite while Baltimore is a +125 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 9.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Kyle Gibson will start here and is 4-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 36 strikeouts for the Orioles this season. Toronto will start Yusei Kikuchi here and he is 5-0 with a 3.89 ERA and 40 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Toronto’s 5-1 win on October 5th, 2022, made it five straight meetings with the Orioles without back-to-back winners in this head-to-head matchup.


Baltimore is 20-9 in their last 29 games overall and 9-4 in their last 13 road games while the over is 7-2 in their last 9 games against a team with a left-handed starter. Toronto is 9-3 in their last 12 home games and 35-17 in their last 52 series-opening games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 division games.


I’m backing the over here. I think this is going to be an offensive slugfest, as I think the regression monster is coming for Baltimore’s Kyle Gibson and I think Toronto will be looking to get the bad taste out of their mouths from the Yankee series. On the other side, Yusei Kikuchi is coming off of one of his worst starts of the year and he’s been getting hit around in May as well. Baltimore’s also really good against lefties in the month of May and I think they can do some damage here as well. Give me the over.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:Over 9.5
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Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg